# New study screens charitable giving research for findings that actually replicate

- Link: https://fundraising.co.uk/2026/07/11/new-study-screens-charitable-giving-research-for-findings-that-actually-replicate/
- Published: 2026-07-11T12:45:14+01:00
- Author: Howard Lake

**A new working paper from the Center for Philanthropic Studies at VU Amsterdam 
sets out to do for the evidence base on charitable giving what Boyan Slat’s Ocean
Cleanup set out to do for the seas: sift a vast and growing body of material for
what is worth keeping.**

Titled “[The Science of Philanthropy Cleanup](https://osf.io/preprints/metaarxiv/4epm5_v1)”
and led by Professor René Bekkers, it asks a question fundraisers rarely get a clear
answer to. Of the thousands of studies published on why people give, which findings
actually hold up when other researchers test them again?

The scale of the problem is stark. In 2021 alone, Google Scholar indexed around 
89,000 studies mentioning donations, and the volume of giving research has grown
more than tenfold since 2000. No individual can keep track.

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## Fundraising meets bibliometrics

Bibliometrics is “the quantitative application of mathematics and statistics to 
study published scholarly literature”. It was part of my Masters in Information 
Science in 1992 when I was a fundraiser at Amnesty International UK. We focused 
then on the challenges of searching and current awareness in chemistry literature,
as academic fundraising or philanthropy research was considerably more manageable
by an individual. I’m pleased that the volume of fundraising research is now a challenge.

To find the reliable signal in the noise of all these studies, Bekkers and colleagues
screened the literature in three ways:

 * for retractions
 * for statistical errors
 * and for replications, meaning studies that repeat an earlier finding using fresh
   data or methods.

Retractions turn out to be rare in giving research. The authors found **36 retracted
studies** between 2007 and 2022, a rate of 0.069%, and the trend is downward. That
could mean the field is trustworthy. It could equally mean giving research attracts
less scrutiny than other disciplines, so fewer flaws are ever caught.

The statistical picture is less comforting. Of the papers the team could check automatically,**
46% contained at least one statistical error**, and **in 13% the error changed whether
a result counted as statistically significant**. Both rates are higher than in psychology
or communication science. More tellingly, **70% of those decision-changing errors
happened to favour the study’s own hypothesis**, a skew that points to researchers,
consciously or not, nudging results toward the answer they wanted.

Replications are the heart of the paper, and they too are rare, **fewer than 1% 
of all publications**. About 60% reached the same conclusion as the study they repeated,
which leaves a substantial minority of “known” findings that do not stand up.

## What holds up

For fundraisers, the most useful section is the audit of which specific tactics 
survive independent replication.

**The levers that hold up are, broadly, the practical ones**. Directly asking people
to give works: face-to-face and verbal solicitations reliably raise more money. 
Lowering the price of giving works, through matched funding and tax incentives, 
although the effect of tax reliefs is smaller than earlier studies claimed, including
in the UK.

Framing a subsidy as a match rather than a rebate raises more than the equivalent
rebate.

“Unit asking”, prompting donors to consider helping one person before deciding how
many to help, holds up.

And efficacy matters: donors give more when overhead costs are lower, and when their
gift is more likely to push a campaign over its target, which is the logic behind
seed funding.

## What doesn’t

Several widely repeated claims do not survive scrutiny, and some fundraising staples
look distinctly unreliable.

The “**watching eyes” effect**, the idea that images of eyes make people more generous,
does not reliably replicate.

**Public recognition of donors** does not dependably increase giving and in some
studies reduces it, with donors sometimes preferring anonymity.

**Thank-you gifts** were found to reduce giving among existing donors rather than
encourage it.

The oft-cited “**identifiable victim effect**“, that a single named beneficiary 
outpulls statistics, failed to hold up in field experiments and a registered report.

**Social information nudges** along the lines of “most people give X” produced far
weaker or null effects on repeat testing. And moral appeals do not reliably shift
behaviour: people with stronger prosocial values give more, but reminding people
of those values does not make them give more.

Notably, the authors found no sign of publication bias within the replications themselves;
null results were published at similar rates to positive ones. But they warn that
meta-analyses built only on published studies are likely to overstate effects, because
replications consistently find weaker results than the originals.

The practical takeaway is that **the sector should treat headline findings with 
more caution before building campaigns on them**. The authors call for more replication,
for journals to adopt registered reports, accepting studies for publication before
the results are known so that null findings are not buried, and for tougher statistical
checks in peer review.

For a sector that leans on “what the evidence says” to justify creative and strategic
choices, it is a timely reminder that not all published evidence is equal, and that
some of the most quotable findings are among the least reliable. The paper is currently
a preprint on OSF and has not yet been peer reviewed.

[Sharing the research on LinkedIn](https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/urn:li:activity:7481610516470243328/),**
Professor Bekkers** commented:

“We find that the more replicable mechanisms are material costs and solicitation,
while replications indicate that material benefits and reputation do not work as
we wrote previously. While replications and retractions are rare in the field of
research on giving, we show how science can be self-correcting through replications.”

---

_The Science of Philanthropy Cleanup_ was written by René Bekkers, Max Littel, Stephanie
Koolen-Maas PhD, Dr Hoda Fahimpour, Arthur Gautier, Wahideh Achbaria, and published
on 7 July 2026 by the Center for Philanthropic Studies, Department of Sociology,
VU Amsterdam.

 * **[Irish Cancer Society most popular for donations](https://fundraising.co.uk/2013/03/31/irish-cancer-society-most-popular-for-donations/)**(
   31 March 2013)
 * **[€43 million lost to charitable causes over 10 years in Ireland](https://fundraising.co.uk/2018/11/12/e43-million-lost-to-charitable-causes-over-10-years-in-ireland/)**(
   12 November 2018)
 * **[UK slips down CAF World Giving Index but is third most generous country for giving money](https://fundraising.co.uk/2023/11/09/uk-slips-down-caf-world-giving-index-but-is-third-most-generous-country-for-giving-money/)**(
   9 November 2023)
